Angelia

To sto on trenutno radi, je big no-no u US politici, prethodni predsednik nikad ne kritikuje naslednika, bez obzira sto su politicki suparnici. To je nepisano pravilo. Jedna stvar je da podrzi svog kandidata, to je normalno, ali ne da ljaga trenutnog predsednika. Ali jbga kad je vec podrivao preuzimanje pozicije, sto ne bi ni sada.

Ma sve je desnicarsko smece ako se ne uklapa u levicarsku retoriku. Necemo valjda da probamo da cujemo istinu, nego da nam mediji govore ono sto zelimo da cujemo, samo ne postavljati pitanja, reci ce ti oni sta da mislis.

An experimental vaccine against the coronavirus showed encouraging results in very early testing, triggering hoped-for immune responses in eight healthy, middle-aged volunteers, its maker announced Monday. Study volunteers given either a low or medium dose of the vaccine by Cambridge, Massachusetts-based Moderna Inc. had antibodies similar to those seen in people who have recovered from COVID-19. In the next phase of the study, led by the U.S. National Institutes of Health, researchers will try to determine which dose is best for a definitive experiment that they aim to start in July. https://www.marketbeat.com/articles/moderna-early-coronavirus-vaccine-results-are-encouraging--2020-05-18/?1

Ja nemam pojma odakle ovi komentari. Prvo pricate o nekom vredjanju na temi, ti sad rasizam i ksenofobiju, gde to vidite?

Dobar text i analiza. Mediji su totalno pobenavili, toliko su ocajni da su poceli otvoreno da lazu i izmisljaju, a kad su uhvaceni u lazi prave se blesavi. Medjutim u kratkom roku sada je izaslo toliko brljotina. Recimo kao ovo sa Bidenom i optuzbom za sexual harassment - kazu naprasno treba "due process', znamo coveka....odjednom se zaboravilo na "treba verovati zeni", mediji odmahuju rukom, kao pa nije to bitno.... i misle da ljudi to ne vide. Nisu naravno svi Dems extremni levicari, pa cak ni mediji, samo su sebi opravdali koriscenje komunistickih metoda

Ja nisam pricala o mafiji u samoj organizaciji, nego o onima koji ih podrzavaju. Za korupciju, i mafijaske organizacije postoji zatvor.

Nista novo, to je valjda bilo jasno da je cela prica oko rusije podmetacina. Ono sto je dobro da je vidljivo koliko su sluzbe bile politicki kompromitovane. Ovo sa NBC je sad vec pokazalo manipulaciju, oni su toliko bili ocigledni da su morali da se izvinjavaju.

Generalno se slazemo. Ni ja ne volim da mi neko govori sta bi ja trebala da zelim. A sto se tice sekte - da - kao sto rekoh covek se zaljubio u svoju licnu legendu. Nemoj ni ti njemu da govoris sta je bolje za njega, pusti ga, prica covek svoju mantru...

Ne, ja nisam ukapirala, ali vidim da si odbio da odgovoris na pitanja. Ok, znaci nemas argument osim da smatras da ce Kina, Singapur i ko god jos biti dominantni u buducnosti. Da li to zelimo? Da li ti podrzavas da to treba da bude tako?

Nisam dokucila, ja sam jako glupo zensko pa da me malo obrazujes. Probaj bez beating around the bush. Znaci Kina je super - jel to treba da nam bude cilj? Ako ne gde si ono naveo Singapur, mozda je to idealno drustvo. Ti se radujes da ce azija postati vodeca kultura, i da svako u njoj treba da bude zahvalan da je na pravom u mestu u pravom trenutku, ako sam te dobro razumela. Zapadna kultura propada i mi smo svi slepi..... Ako gresim, molim te prosvetli me, ali ne sa 500 godina robovanja, i slicnim metaforama koje su suvise komplikovane za moj mali mozak.

To je greska. Ljudi imaju samo razlicito politicko misljenje, veoma mali deo je stvarno pokvaren, vecina jednostavno ide sa necim u sta su ubedjeni da je dobro. Zeleti im bolest i smrt, je pogresno. Umesto toga pozeli im da se obrazuju, opamete itd. Smatrati da samo zato sto neko misli drugacije, treba da umre, i znam da je to tesko u Sr razumeti, je pogresno. Ako svi ti koje smatras neprijateljima, nestanu, onda je to jednoumlje.

izvini ali tvoji postovi su jako zbunjujuci. Sta ti u stvari pokusavas da kazes? da treba da stremimo ka kineskom modelu?

Doticnog Trgovcevica sam imala priliku da upoznam - sticajem okolnosti. Jbte sad si me podsetio - ja u to vreme cula za njega, ne secam se godine, ali nisam znala lik....stopirala i covek stao i povezao me, mozda sam bila negde izmedju 18-21, ne secam se, ali se secam da je poceo da lupeta o mojoj sudbini, u kolima, zakacio se za burmu koju nosim i danas, nije moja - nasledstvo od babe, al se taj nalupetao. Vidovit my a.... Anyway nemoj da trolujemo temu. Gejts je definitivno sposoban biznisman, i to malo da razvucemo termin, posto mi njegove strategije nikad nisu bile bliske, ali cinjenica je cinjenica, uz to dosta para je dao u dobrotvorne svrhe, cenim, ali to isto cenim kod Bezosa. Njegova predvidjanja i neke ideje, ne hvala. Kao sto rekoh - nije interesantan, zato sam i rekla "malo cudan lik", misleci veoma je cudan. Covek je jednostavno uvrnut na svoj nacin, znam da su mnogi sirili njegov TED predavanje, ali nikad nisam smatrala da od njega ima ista da se nauci. I naravno teorije zavere su glupost. Tip je jednostavno zaljubljen u neku imaginarnu legendu o sebi.

Iskreno receno, ne znam. on me nikad nije nesto specijalno interesovao. Verovatno deo kampanje. On je malo cudan lik.

Join the club, sramota me da priznam da sam nekad mislila da bi Gor bio dobar predsednik Covek se uci dok je ziv.

Mislim da je najvise ogorcenosti doslo upravo od toga da je jedan showman i vlasnik kazina, pobedio Queen H. Vec su bili odlepili od 2012, ali nakon 2016 je totalna demencija. Demokrate i mediji koji su poverovali u svoju ultimativnu moc, i moralnu uzvisenost, i jadna publika koja guta "zavadi pa vladaj". Nije mi jasno da cak i neki inteligentni ljudi padaju na to, i veruju da je ok nekog zvati nacistom i fasistom i rasistom, zato sto se ne slaze sa "progresivcima". A nekad je DNC bio relativno normalna grupa politicara.

Fatality Rate based on New York City Actual Cases and Deaths Worldometer has analyzed the data provided by New York City, the New York State antibody study, and the excess deaths analysis by the CDC. Combining these 3 sources together we can derive the most accurate estimate to date on the mortality rate for COVID-19, as well as the mortality rate by age group and underlying condition. These findings can be valid for New York City and not necessarily for other places (suburban or rural areas, other countries, etc.), but they represent the best estimates to date given the co-occurrence of these 3 studies. Actual Cases (1.7 million: 10 times the number of confirmed cases) New York State conducted an antibody testing study [source], showing that 12.3% of the population in the state had COVID-19 antibodies as of May 1, 2020. The survey developed a baseline infection rate by testing 15,103 people at grocery stores and community centers across the state over the preceding two weeks. The study provides a breakdown by county, race (White 7%, Asian 11.1%, multi/none/other 14.4%, Black 17.4%, Latino/Hispanic 25.4%), and age, among other variables. 19.9% of the population of New York City had COVID-19 antibodies. With a population of 8,398,748 people in NYC [source], this percentage would indicate that 1,671,351 people had been infected with SARS-CoV-2 and had recovered as of May 1 in New York City. The number of confirmed cases reported as of May 1 by New York City was 166,883 [source], more than 10 times less. Actual Deaths (23,000: almost twice the number of confirmed deaths) As of May 1, New York City reported 13,156 confirmed deaths and 5,126 probable deaths (deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate but no laboratory test performed), for a total of 18,282 deaths [source]. The CDC on May 11 released its "Preliminary Estimate of Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Outbreak — New York City, March 11–May 2, 2020" [source] in which it calculated an estimate of actual COVID-19 deaths in NYC by analyzing the "excess deaths" (defined as "the number of deaths above expected seasonal baseline levels, regardless of the reported cause of death") and found that, in addition to the confirmed and probable deaths reported by the city, there were an estimated 5,293 more deaths to be attributed. After adjusting for the previous day (May 1), we get 5,148 additional deaths, for a total of actual deaths of 13,156 confirmed + 5,126 probable + 5,148 additional excess deaths calculated by CDC = 23,430 actual COVID-19 deaths as of May 1, 2020 in New York City. Infection Fatality Rate (23k / 1.7M = 1.4% IFR) Actual Cases with an outcome as of May 1 = estimated actual recovered (1,671,351) + estimated actual deaths (23,430) = 1,694,781. Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) = Deaths / Cases = 23,430 / 1,694,781 = 1.4% (1.4% of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 have a fatal outcome, while 98.6% recover). Mortality Rate (23k / 8.4M = 0.28% CMR to date) and Probability of Dying As of May 1, 23,430 people are estimated to have died out of a total population of 8,398,748 in New York City. This corresponds to a 0.28% crude mortality rate to date, or 279 deaths per 100,000 population, or 1 death every 358 people. Note that the Crude Mortality Rate will continue to increase as more infections and deaths occur (see notes under the paragraph "Herd Immunity" below for details). Mortality Rate by Age See also: Death Rate by Age and Sex of COVID-19 patients When analyzing the breakdown of deaths by age and condition [source], we can observe how, out of 15,230 confirmed deaths in New York City up to May 12, only 690 (4.5% of all deaths) occurred in patients under the age of 65 who did not have an underlying medical condition (or for which it is unknown whether they had or did not have an underlying condition). Underlying illnesses include Diabetes, Lung Disease, Cancer, Immunodeficiency, Heart Disease, Hypertension, Asthma, Kidney Disease, GI/Liver Disease, and Obesity [source] Under 65-year-old (0.09% CMR to date) 85.9% of the population (7,214,525 people out of 8,398,748) in New York City is under 65 years old according to the US Census Bureau, which indicates the percent of persons 65 years old and over in New York City as being 14.1% [source]. We don't know what percentage of the population in this age group has an underlying condition, so at this time we are not able to accurately estimate the fatality rate for the under 65 years old and healthy. But we can calculate it for the entire population under 65 years old (both healthy and unhealthy): with 6,188 deaths (26% of the total deaths in all age groups) occurring in this age group, of which 5,498 deaths (89%) in patients with a known underlying condition, the crude mortality rate to date will correspond to 6,188 / 7,214,525 = 0.09% CMR, or 86 deaths per 100,000 population (compared to 0.28% and 279 deaths per 100,000 for the general population). So far there has been 1 death every 1,166 people under 65 years old (compared to 1 death every 358 people in the general population). And 89% of the times, the person who died had one or more underlying medical conditions. NOTE: We are gathering and analyzing additional data in order to provide more estimates by age group. Herd Immunity and final Crude Mortality Rate Crude mortality rate is not really applicable during an ongoing epidemic. And to reach herd immunity for COVID-19 and effectively end the epidemic, approximately two thirds (67%) of the population would need to be infected. As of May 1, New York City is at 20%, based on the antibody study findings. Therefore, the crude mortality rate has the potential to more than triple from our current estimate, reaching close to 1,000 deaths per 100,000 population (1% CMR), and close to 300 per 100,000 (0.3% CMR) in the population under 65 years old, with 89% of these deaths (267 out of 300) occurring in people with a known underlying medical condition (including obesity). Znaci mere za one preko 65 i sa underlying condition, a ostali mogu nazad na radne zadatke. Naravno to ne znaci da se treba izlagati riziku bespotrebno.

Nije ovo tema za to, ali ja sam ranije postavila pitanje kako moze Tramp da bude kriv sto je slusao WHO i sto nije slusao WHO. Ne moze oboje da bude tacno. Ocigledno je slusao WHO, dok vrag nije odneo salu, pa je na svu srecu prestao da ih slusa i zatvorio letove, nazalost do tada je vec bilo kasno. Nisu tu krivi ni evropski lideri. Jedino ko je kriv, su Kina i WHO.

Bilo je sumnjivo od starta, policija odmah otvorila istragu, na osnovu toga sto su prijatelji rekli da je covek bio inteligentan, obrazovan i da ne bi popio sredstvo za ciscenje akvarijuma. Nisam stvarno pratila. Nadam se da se Obama nije umesao, ovo sto radi vec danima je nisko, dodati odbranu nekog takvog je stvarno previse. Za onog debila u Chicagu, jednostavno nema reci, nadam se da policija Chicaga nece da dozvoli da ga prosvercuju - posto je od njih napravio budale, nije cak ni B glumac Ali naravno ko cita demanti, a i ako nije na CNNu...

Nemam pojma kako je kod vas, ali kod mene u Philliju izrazunali 55% umrlih su iz domova.

To da je narcisoidan sam rekla jos pre 4 godine, oduvek bio. A lazov, nemam pojma, problem je sto to ide sa pozicijom, pa ne znam da li je to licna karakteristika ili pozicije.

Jedan od gadnih aspekata ove pandemije je upravo to - da ljudi umiru sami i izolovani.

To nema nista zajednicko. Bilo je objavljeno da je neko od lekara bio i predstavio mu istrazivanje. Jel i sad napravio deal kad je objavio da ce lek za ebolu poslati svuda?

Ne unosim ja zabunu, vise puta sam rekla da je zdravstvo briga drzava (a svih 50 su uvele neke mere) i onda dodje baby i kaze ne vidim nikakvu naredbu na federalnom nivou, pa naravno da je nema na federalnim nivou. I ja uvek govorim da je svaka drzava u US imala svoje mere, medjutim u vecini one su bile poprilicno slicne, i po ovom pitanju vecina njih je bila ista, trazila da se elektivne operacije odloze ili otkazu, instrukcije su izdate oreko udruzenja hirurga i drzava. Ja pricam o posledicama - a neki se bave propitivanjem da li je to moguce, jok lazem ja

Pokusala sam, izvini sto je naporno pisati fusnote za ljude koji ne razumeju US uredjenje, sta je federalna jurisdikcija a sta lokalna. nista od ovoga po pitanju mera nije federalna vlada, jedino gde imaju vlast je odobrenje FDA, i uglavnom u ovoj situaciji FDA je davao odobrenje, cak i kad neke stvari ne zadovoljavaju njihove zahteve. Edit: probacu sutra da nadjem vremena pa da napisem duze objasnjenje, posto ocigledno postoji nesporazum iako sam ranije objasnila, nista od ovih mera nije pod kontrolom federalne vlasti, tj Trampa, sve je u kontroli drzave, tj 50 drzava.