Dragan

Mnogo prije Trumpa, prijelomni trenutak pretvorio je republikance u ekstremnu stranku Je li Donald Trump preoteo republikance? Povjesničarka Annika Brockschmidt kaže da je to rezultat desetljeća radikalizacije. U središtu su piromani – i žena. Nakon oluje na Capitolu 6. 1. 2021., čini se da je politička karijera Donalda Trumpa pri kraju. Vodeći republikanci poput čelnika Zastupničkog doma i Senata Kevina McCarthyja i Mitcha McConnella smatraju Trumpa odgovornim za nasilne ekscese i distanciraju se od njega. Ali samo nekoliko dana kasnije ponovno su na strani velikog gubitnika predsjedničkih izbora. Svojom brzom promjenom mišljenja, McCarthy i McConnell se povinuju pritisku glasnog, radikalnog dijela republikanske baze koji ne vidi oluju na Capitolu kao lošu ili čak dobru. U konačnici, McConnell u Senatu osigurava da naknadni opoziv Trumpa ne može biti uspješan. Je li Trump, nadareni populist i zabavljač, preoteo Republikansku stranku? Možda se tako čini jer Trump diktira kamo stvari idu. Prema povjesničarki Anniki Brockschmidt, Trump je prije preliminarni rezultat desetljeća radikalizacije republikanaca, stranke univerzalno cijenjenog američkog predsjednika Abrahama Lincolna i ultimativno cijenjenog Ronalda Reagana. Povjesničar Brockschmidt godinama prati politička zbivanja u SAD-u. Republikanska politika potpune blokade svega što je liberalno trajno je oštetila političku kulturu SAD-a. Čini kompromise s političkim protivnicima gotovo nemogućima. Jer postoji samo dobro i zlo. U borbi za pravu Ameriku sučeljavaju se dva nepomirljiva tabora. Mnogi stručnjaci smatraju da će predsjednički izbori u studenom biti odluka između demokracije i autokracije. Vlast je važnija od demokracije Prema povjesničaru Brockschmidtu, republikanci kakvi danas stoje više nisu demokratska stranka. “Imate vodećeg kandidata koji ne prihvaća rezultate demokratskih izbora i koji želi zatvoriti svoje protivnike – demokrate, tužitelje, pa čak i novinare. I njegova stranka to podržava.” Želja za moći među republikancima mnogo je jača od njihovog poštivanja demokratskih pravila igre. To znači: “Američka demokracija kakvu poznajemo više neće postojati ako Trump ponovno dođe na vlast”, kaže Brockschmidt. “Više od toga: radikalizacija republikanaca nastavit će se i nakon Trumpa.”

Pobratimstvo lica u svemiru Ne boj se! nisi sam! ima i drugih nego ti koji nepoznati od tebe žive tvojim životom. I ono sve što ti bje, ću i što sni gori u njima istim žarom, ljepotom i čistotom. Ne gordi se! Tvoje misli nisu samo tvoje! One u drugima žive. Mi smo svi prešli iste putove u mraku, mi smo svi jednako lutali u znaku traženja, i svima jednako se dive. Sa svakim nešto dijeliš, i više vas ste isti. I pamti da je tako od prastarih vremena. I svi se ponavljamo, i veliki i čisti, kao djeca što ne znaju još ni svojih imena. I snagu nam, i grijehe drugi s nama dijele, i sni su naši sami iz zajedničkog vrela. I hrana nam je duše iz naše opće zdjele, i sebični je pečat jedan nasred čela. Stojimo čovjek protiv čovjeka, u znanju da svi smo bolji, međusobni, svi skupa tmuša, a naša krv, i poraz svih nas, u klanju, opet je samo jedna historija duša. Strašno je ovo reći u uho oholosti, no vrlo srećno za očajničku sreću, da svi smo isti u zloći i radosti, i da nam breme kobi počiva na pleću. Ja sam u nekom tamo neznancu, i na zvijezdi dalekoj, raspreden, a ovdje u jednoj niti, u cvijetu ugaslom, razbit u svijetu što jezdi, pa kad ću ipak biti tamo u mojoj biti? Ja sam ipak ja, svojeglav i onda kad me nema, ja sam šiljak s vrha žrtvovan u masi; o vasiono! Ja živim i umirem u svjema; ja bezimeno ustrajem u braći. Tin Ujević

To be clear: being an idiot and being a genius aren't mutually exclusive. Elon Musk is in many ways a genius business executive, and in many more ways a huge friggin' idiot. The idea that he's a "polymath"[1] completely whitewashes the actual scientists and engineers who did the actual work behind SpaceX and Tesla and SolarCity. I have seen literally zero evidence that Musk understands the physics and mathematics required to actually engineer a rocket or electronic car. For that matter, while SpaceX has made admirable technical contributions to economic spaceflight, they are not innovating new technologies in the way that government space agencies are (especially NASA). He seems like a decent programmer and, when he's not high on Twitter, a very good tech CEO. It seems like he has a rare "spark of vision." But translating these admirable qualities into universal genius is just worshipping the Cult of the CEO. Musk is, first and foremost, a celebrity venture capitalist.

Kakav ste tip spavanja? Neki ljudi su produktivni rano ujutro, dok drugi imaju nalet energije tek navečer. Za to su presudni naši geni. Danas je poznato dvadesetak gena koji upravljaju našim unutarnjim satom, odnosno našim bioritmom. Bioritam utječe na naš metabolizam, rad naših organa i sposobnost koncentracije. To zauzvrat određuje naše pojedinačne faze izvedbe. Interni sat se ne može lako promijeniti. Međutim, to se može malo promijeniti tijekom života. Djeca i stariji su skloniji ranoraniocima, dok su mladi obično ti koji ne vole jutra. ševa Ševe su ranoranioci. Vaš molekularno biološki unutarnji sat radi brže od stvarnog doba dana. Ševe imaju najproduktivniju fazu prije podneva. Ali rano navečer se umore. Ali čak će i ševa ostati budna do kasno navečer kako bi nazdravila Novoj godini. Sova Sove uvijek malo zaostaju za ševama. Taj se fenomen naziva društveni jet lag. Kao tipični jutarnji gunđali, radije ustaju kasno i navečer stvarno vježbaju. Ali sova također postaje ranoranilac kako bi uhvatila avion za praznike. U srednjoj Europi ima više sova nego ševa. Međutim, većina su mješoviti ili normalni tipovi koji se ne mogu jasno identificirati kao sova ili ševa. Još uvijek nije jasno zašto su sove u većini. To bi moglo biti zbog gena. Međutim, također je moguće da umjetno svjetlo utječe na naše ponašanje i drži nas budnima navečer.

Prasak za pecivo vs kvasac ?

Russia Hit By Tsunami of Bankruptcies Russia has seen a sharp spike in corporate bankruptcies, according to a report that comes as Vladimir Putin looks to tax companies more to pay for his social program and the sanctions-hit economy continues to face turbulence. The business newspaper Kommersant reported that in the first two months of 2024, corporate bankruptcies had increased by more than a half compared with the same period last year—and experts predicted an increase in insolvencies in future. Bartosz Sawicki, market analyst at Conotoxia Fintech, told Newsweek Russian firms are facing refinancing issues "as the effects of monetary tightening are starting to kick in." Kommersant said that in January and February this year, 571 and 771 companies respectively, were declared bankrupt—57 percent and 61 percent more than in the same months in 2023, citing court records in the country's Unified Federal Register of Bankruptcy Information. Last year, Russia's Supreme Court proposed raising the bankruptcy debt bar from 300,000 rubles ($3,350) to 2 million rubles ($22,000), which would reduce insolvencies by 40 percent but make it difficult for creditors to recover small debts. The government does not support the idea. Independent news outlet The Bell, which reports on the Russian economy, gave its take on Kommersant's findings, concluding that bankruptcies were not "abnormally" high but "much more worrying may be attempts to curb this growth by easing the requirements for debtors. "The Supreme Court's initiative to raise the bar for bankruptcy is not supported by either the government or lawyers," The Bell added. Newsweek has contacted Russia's finance ministry for comment. Last week, Putin hinted at higher taxes for companies during his state-of-the-nation address to Federation Council, in which he announced policies to boost infrastructure, and social support. The Moscow Times reported that this would involve a windfall tax on profits for corporations, in addition to a rise in personal income tax, from a flat rate of 13 percent. Bloomberg estimated Putin's plans would cost $164 billion in the next six-year term of his presidency, which he is expected to regain in this month's elections. While predictions for GDP growth this year hover at around 2.5 percent, Russia has been hit hard by war-related sanctions and faces dwindling revenues from energy exports. Sawicki said that despite the relative resilience of the wartime economy due to high government spending on the war effort, "the picture of other sectors of the economy is far from rosy." "Companies are experiencing problems with refinancing as the effects of monetary tightening are starting to kick in," Sawicki told Newsweek. "Although Russian companies are doing their utmost to dodge sanctions, international trade has become a significant issue for plenty of them. "The private sector also feels the pressure of macroeconomic instabilities, which deepen as the economy is on the verge of overheating."

Belgorodski Rusi su trazili zastitu od strane Ukrajine i uputili su zahtev u UN za hitnom sednicom radi ocuvanja Nezavisne Republike Belgorod. Moskovski agresori bombarduju neduzne civiliste u Belgorodu, a ukrajinski oslobodioci ih brane. UN poziva Moskvu na postivanja granica NRB i mirovne pregovore.

@Div Totalno si u pravu za kvasac. Zena mi je asistirala prvi put i dala mi 1/2 kvasca. Ne koristim mixer vec mi je bas fora da rucno mesam. Jedina misterija koju cu morati je da nadjem temperaturu koja je potrebna da se digne (testo), dok stoji i temperaturu voda/mleko/kvasac. Ili to nije tako bitno ? Preslano nije bilo, koristim male kasicice za caj i to poravnato. Procitah negde da kvasac ne sme da dodje direktno u dodir sa solju. Taj osecaj da si sam napravio hleb - neprocenjivo.

@Div Pre mesec dana sam napravio svoj prvi uspesni hleb i to je zaista divan osecaj. Prvi pokusaj je bio u studentskim danima i neslavno se zavrsio (dobro, mogli smo bar da ga koristimo umesto cekica neko vreme) i obeshrabrio me sve do dansnjih dana. :) Sada su mi vec tri uspela. Prvi je bio jednostavan, drugi sam vec probao sa sitno iseckanim maslinama i isusenim paradajzom. Neki su ga jeli suvog, bez icega. Recept je jednostavan: 700 gr belog brasna 300 gr razanog 3 cajne kasicice soli 42 gr svezeg kvasca 6-7 dl mleka Testo umesiti, ostaviti 1 sat da stoji pokrivenog mokrom krpom, nakon toga jos jednom umesati i ostaviti 10 minuta da stoji. Peci ~25 min na 200° Sada bih hteo da napravim one indijske nan i capati, ali za to treba dosta ulja. Nakon toga samosa.

8.2007. - 2009. velika bankovna kriza 3.2020. - 2022. covid pandemija List of presidents of the United States United States Unemployment Rate G.H.W.Bush (1989. - 1992.) 5.4 % --> 7.4 % B.Clinton (1993. - 2000.) 7.3 % --> 3.9 % G.W.Bush (2001. - 2008.) 4.2 % --> 7.3 % B.Obama (2009. - 2016.) 7.8% --> 4.7 % D.Trump (2017. - 2020.) 4.7 % --> 6.7 % J.Biden (2021. - ) 6.4 % --> 3.9 % (2.2024.) Real GDP growth G.H.W.Bush (1989. - 1992.) 3.7 - 1.9 - (-0.1) - 3.5 B.Clinton (1993. - 2000.) 2.8 - 4 - 2.7 - 3.8 - 4.4 - 4.5 - 4.8 - 4.1 G.W.Bush (2001. - 2008.) 1 - 1.7 - 2.8 - 3.9 - 3.5 - 2.8 - 2 - 0.1 B.Obama (2009. - 2016.) (-2.6) - 2.7 - 1.5 - 2.3 - 1.8 - 2.3 - 2.7 - 1.7 D.Trump (2017. - 2020.) 2.2 - 2.9 - 2.3 - (-2.8) J.Biden (2021. - ) 5.9 - 2.1 - 2.1 - US National Debt by Year Debt (in billions, rounded) G.H.W.Bush (1989. - 1992.) 2.602 --> 4.065 B.Clinton (1993. - 2000.) 4.065 --> 5.674 G.W.Bush (2001. - 2008.) 5.674 - 10.025 B.Obama (2009. - 2016.) 10.025 --> 19.573 D.Trump (2017. - 2020.) 19.573 --> 27.748 J.Biden (2021. - ) 27.748 - 34.471 (2.2024.) U.S. Inflation Rate 1960-2024 G.H.W.Bush (1989. - 1992.) 4.8 - 5.4 - 4.2 - 3.0 B.Clinton (1993. - 2000.) 2.9 - 2.6 - 2.8 - 2.9 - 2.3 - 1.5 - 2.2 - 3.4 G.W.Bush (2001. - 2008.) 2.8 - 1.6 - 2.3 - 2.7 - 3.4 - 3.2 - 2.8 - 3.8 B.Obama (2009. - 2016.) (-0.4) - 1.6 - 3.2 - 2.1 - 1.5 - 1.6 - 0.1 - 1.3 D.Trump (2017. - 2020.) 2.1 - 2.4 - 1.8 - 1.2 J.Biden (2021. - ) 4.7 - 8 - 4.1 - 3.2 (2.2024.)

Cudni su ovi republikanci, prikriveni maoisti.

Sjetite se prošlogodišnjeg članka Forbesa u Ukrajini u kojem se navodi da je Rusija potrošila 25,6 milijardi dolara na odštete obiteljima poginulih vojnika i 21 milijardu dolara na odštete ranjenima. Putin je ranije 2023. godine potpisao dekret kojim je naredio isplatu 68.800 dolara obiteljima poginulih i 41.300 dolara ranjenim vojnicima. Pomoću ovoga možemo dobiti uvid u potencijalne ruske žrtve UZ PRETPOSTAVKU da nema korupcije/pranja novca i da su sva dodijeljena sredstva ispravno isplaćena. Prema izdacima ruske vlade izvršili su isplate najbližoj rodbini za 372.093 vojnika poginulih u akciji. Prema izdacima ruske vlade, izvršili su isplate za 508.474 vojnika ranjenih u borbi.

Dve. :)

Tanki su ti argumenti (najveca zemlja ne znaci nista, a Kinezi osim sto im nisu nikakvi saveznici, imaju dosta i sopstvenih problema) i to sto je Klotzen pisao se oslanja na solidne argumente. Druga je stvar sto je zli gnom za ovih 24 godine napravio rezerve (koje su se ipak prepolovile u ove dve godine) i sto je imao dodatnu zaradu prve godine kada su cene nafte skocile. Neke stvari su navedene u gornjem tekstu, a evo samo par stvari, pa pokusaj da ih osporis, tj da argumentiras kako oni nece oslabiti russku ekonomiju: 1. najmanje milion mladih, radnosposobnih i verovatno visokoobrazovanih je napustilo russiju 2. ~400 000 ih je poginulo/ranjeno, a jos 600 000 ih je vezano za rat u Ukrajini 3. i pre rata im je natalitet bio nizak, a sada je jos nizi 4. kamata centralne banke je na 16%, a inflacija (zvanicna) je 7.4%, budzetski defizit ogroman, rublja pada 5. naftu i gas, koji su im najveci izvor prihoda, moraju da prodaju po diskontnim cenama i sa vecim izdacima za prevoz (uz to dobijaju pretezno yuane i rupije) - najnoviji napadi na rafinerije svakako nece povecati te prihode 6. ekonomski rast se zasniva iskljucivo na drzavnim izdacima za rat, koji ne donose nista drustvu, ostatak privrede stagnira 7. tehnoloska izolovanost i izostanak stranih investicija onemogucavaju bilo kakav ekonomski napredak Jedina stvar koja russiju jos drzi su rezerve, koje se polako ali sigurno tope. Kada vise ne bude moguce finansirati prihode ljudi u Moskvi i St. Petersburgu da ostanu mirni i kada vise ne bude mogao kupovati (jer za to trebaju $$$) rakete i municiju od Irana, SK, rat ce se pribliziti kraju. Kad bi samo oni blesavi kultisti u USA barem jos jednom podrzali oruzjem Ukrajinu sve bi bilo puno lakse.

Russian economic ‘resilience’ is not what it seems The markup in the International Monetary Fund’s 2024 Russian growth forecast from 1.1% to 2.6% has elicited stories about Russian economic ‘resilience’. For decades, Russia ran highly orthodox and prudent macroeconomic policies, accumulating wealth amid extremely low debt levels. The strength of these orthodox ‘Fortress Russia’ policies created substantial fiscal space, which is now helping Russia finance highly stimulative fiscal policies to support its war against Ukraine and weather the associated economic stresses. Economic policy-makers can support growth in the short run with large fiscal stimulus or credit expansion and post good growth numbers. Given strong buffers and the populace’s seeming ability to tolerate hardship, Russia may well be able to sustain such performance for several years. But ‘resilience’ is a misnomer. Russia is masking a process of significant economic degradation that will continue well into the future and further marginalise its global footprint.

@40Wins Sorry, ne mogu sve da odslusam. Makron voli mnogo da prica i to politicarski. U sustini konacno govori ono sto je vecini nas vec odavno jasno na forumu - da se russiji ne sme dozvoliti da pobedi. Sutra ce biti sve u novinama, mada ja ne vidim niceg novog osim malo ostrije retorike. Nadam se da ce recima slediti delo tj. da ce i FR konacno poslati malo vise oruzja, koje ima.

Fatal aid-drop over Gaza as parachutes fail Several people have reportedly been injured and at least 5 killed after parachutes dropping aid over Gaza failed to open. Verses On Five People Being Killed By A Falling Package Of Foreign Aid When God placed Man upon the earth In days of God knows when He said to love the Lord your God And love your fellow men It's safe enough to love the Lord In worship or in song The Lord your God is far away And very, very strong But he who loves his fellow man Must careful be, and agile For fellow men are very close And very, very fragile So Midgley, Marx, and Mao, and more All had their tale to tell They tried to help their fellow men And pushed them into Hell And Galton, Ehrlich, Robespierre Corbusier and Kipling All saw their actions ripple out And worsen in the rippling And every time you throw a coin Into a beggar's jar The coin could strike the beggar's face And leave him with a scar And every slice of bread you give To a child starved and broke Could lodge the wrong way in his throat And cause the kid to choke The best laid plans of mice and men Are oft unwisely laid And end with Palestinians Struck dead by falling aid When young, I learned philosophy At many a scholar's door And all the wisdom that I learned Came down to options four: * To make your heart as hard as stone Like the heart of a machine And sit there supercilious Because your hands are clean * To pet your dog and kiss your kid And call your duty done While far away, the Gazan girls Are dropping one by one * To rush in bright and glorious 'Neath the golden flag of Good Then apologize at leisure to Men crushed by falling food * Or to creep in like accountants Using gain and loss as anchors As cunning as the serpents And as cold as Wall Street bankers When I was young, I fought among The golden-flagged crusaders But now I’m old, and now I stand Beside the snakes and traders So when my plans go all awry And my name becomes a curse I can say the other option was Eleven utils worse And if upon the Judgment Day God comes to me in wrath I'll have a PowerPoint prepared To prove I did the math And if, upon the Judgment Day God says my math is wrong I'll tell Him He is far away And very, very strong But man is very, very close And very, very brittle And we can only do our best Or sit there, noncommital And so we sighed, and multiplied And after that, we prayed For souls of Palestinians Struck dead by falling aid.

Verses On Five People Being Killed By A Falling Package Of Foreign Aid When God placed Man upon the earth In days of God knows when He said to love the Lord your God And love your fellow men It's safe enough to love the Lord In worship or in song The Lord your God is far away And very, very strong But he who loves his fellow man Must careful be, and agile For fellow men are very close And very, very fragile So Midgley, Marx, and Mao, and more All had their tale to tell They tried to help their fellow men And pushed them into Hell And Galton, Ehrlich, Robespierre Corbusier and Kipling All saw their actions ripple out And worsen in the rippling And every time you throw a coin Into a beggar's jar The coin could strike the beggar's face And leave him with a scar And every slice of bread you give To a child starved and broke Could lodge the wrong way in his throat And cause the kid to choke The best laid plans of mice and men Are oft unwisely laid And end with Palestinians Struck dead by falling aid When young, I learned philosophy At many a scholar's door And all the wisdom that I learned Came down to options four: * To make your heart as hard as stone Like the heart of a machine And sit there supercilious Because your hands are clean * To pet your dog and kiss your kid And call your duty done While far away, the Gazan girls Are dropping one by one * To rush in bright and glorious 'Neath the golden flag of Good Then apologize at leisure to Men crushed by falling food * Or to creep in like accountants Using gain and loss as anchors As cunning as the serpents And as cold as Wall Street bankers When I was young, I fought among The golden-flagged crusaders But now I’m old, and now I stand Beside the snakes and traders So when my plans go all awry And my name becomes a curse I can say the other option was Eleven utils worse And if upon the Judgment Day God comes to me in wrath I'll have a PowerPoint prepared To prove I did the math And if, upon the Judgment Day God says my math is wrong I'll tell Him He is far away And very, very strong But man is very, very close And very, very brittle And we can only do our best Or sit there, noncommital And so we sighed, and multiplied And after that, we prayed For souls of Palestinians Struck dead by falling aid.

The Plan (tajni) biva sve vise raskrinkan, kockice se polako slazu. Na granici (juznoj) ce biti postavljene brojne kamere, koje ce uz pomoc KI (privatne) na osnovu crta njihovog lica, registrovati sve ljute, nesrecne, depresivne i mentalno obolele progresivce, te ce ih zatim skupiti (kavezi?) i najnovijim SpaceX projektom poslati na Mars (uz odgovarajucu nadoknadu svemirskoj Karen). Win-win-win situacija. Pare su se okrenule i nagomilale, ilegalni imigranti imaju hranu i smestaj, Marsovci se ne mogu buniti, repsi resili problem i mogu vecno da vladaju (sanjajuci dalje neometano american dream). Demsi mogu da se isele u njima mile maoisticke drzave, kao na pr. Norvesku, Dansku, Svedsku i Svajcarsku.