Sunshine State

I u Srbiji 15!

Sta bi kod lekara? Jos nisi fit da radis? A nije korona?

Zanimljiv clanak, isecci ovde: Most people are focused on the total number of patients, new patients and deaths worldwide. These numbers are ascending at a deadly pace, literally, and looking at the graphs gives a sense that they are climbing rapidly toward the end of the world. However, the specific data of each country, when examined separately, suggest otherwise. Although this is an early observation, it appears this disease has a periodicity of a classic Gaussian bell-curve shape wherever it appears. Ignoring both tails of the graph, it indicates that this bell's life cycle is around six to eight weeks, with its peak appearing after about two to four weeks from the time when incidents begin to occur at a substantial rate. Many doubt the Chinese figures and claim that the Chinese implemented extreme quarantine that cannot be performed elsewhere. But let’s take a look at the Republic of Korea. South Korea implemented a strategy of large-scale testing instead of massive quarantine. Dozens of daily new cases started to appear around February 20. By March 3, the daily rate had reached a peak of approximately 850 new cases. Since then it has been declining, and on March 15, it stabilized back at less than 100 new cases per day (with only two exceptions). Essentially, within five weeks, the significant level of the epidemic in Korea was suppressed and reached a daily rate that no longer presents a major challenge to the health system.

Holandija grabi 😞 Mislim da im je prvi slucaj registrovan 1.marta....od tad imaju 2 (dva) recovered!! Trenutno 5560 zarazenih, ali po dijagramu izgleda da se smanjuje, da je pik bio 21 marta...rano je jos za takve zakljucke

@vilhelmina Vili, tvoji Svedjani ili salju lazne brojke ili nesto rade kako treba, jer broj novih slucajeva i broj smrti je (ruzno za reci) prihvatljiv u ovoj situaciji

Lik je pio tablete za ciscenje akvarijuma/bazena kao prevenciju korone. Zato i kazem, antimalarici, i ako imaju benefite kao deo terapije u lcenju korone, treba da budu u kontrolisanim uslovima, od strane lekara

You can't fix stupid! Pa da mi milion predsednika kaze da popijem tablete za ciscenje bazena, mislim da (pri zdravoj pameti) ne bih! Edit: evo govore ljudima da ostanu u kucama, pa sto to ne poslusaju?

@nemanjaolSve je to i ranije zakljuceno, kao i to da se ove mere i uvode da bi se vreme rasteglo sto vise, pa da na kraju "balade" imamo sto manju smrnost (sto priblizniju obicnoj influenzi)

Svejedno, ignorisanjem i netestiranjem virus nije stao, tako da je realno pretpostaviti da su brojke mnogo vece nego ono sto vidjamo po worldometer-ima...vec rekoh kako je Dr iz Johns Hopkins bolnice rekao da je relanije da na potvrdjene slucajeve imamo 25-50 nepotvrdjenih, sto bi znacilo da je u US vec oko 1 - 2 miliona....u tom slucaju, 545 u umrlih predstavlja ocekuvanu smrtnost od influence - doduse, ovo je u mnogo kracem periodu

Da se razumemo, ne radi se o nikakvim teorijama zavere, vec o pokusajima razumevanja dinamike zarazenih - kako su vec primetili po US, 27 januara je broj zarazenih u US bio 5 (videti link dole) - od tad, pa sve do 27 februara, kad su imali 60 slucajeva, onda je krenulo. Kako su uspeli da mesec dana odrze broj slucajeva od 5 do 60, kad vidimo da je i u ostalim drzavama mnogo brza dinamika rasta zarazenih? https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/coronavirus-cure-bryant/ Ili se opet vracamo na broj testiranih - u tom slucaju, ako su 27 januara imali 5 zarazenih (potvrdjenih), trenutna brojka je mnoooogo veca, jer su propustili skoro mesec dana intenzivnijeg testiranja.

Mislim da nije prokomentarisan clanak: During the winter seasons 2014/15 and 2016/17, an excess of all-cause mortality was reported in Europe (Mølbak et al., 2015, Vestergaard et al., 2017). In both seasons, the predominant influenza virus strain circulating in Europe was A/H3N2, which is the strain most commonly associated with influenza mortality in the elderly (Vestergaard et al., 2017, ECDC/WHO, 2017, Rizzo et al., 2007). In Italy, the 2014/15 season was characterized by a co-circulation of A/H1N1pdm09 (52%) and A/H3N2 (41%) strains, while during the 2016/17 season, the A/H3N2 virus predominated (93%) (NIH, 2018). In recent years, Italy has been registering peaks in death rates, particularly among the elderly during the winter season. A mortality rate of 10.7 per 1,000 inhabitants was observed in the winter season 2014/2015 (more than 375,000 deaths in absolute terms), corresponding to an estimated 54,000 excess deaths (+9.1%) as compared to 2014 (Signorelli and Odone, 2016), representing the highest reported mortality rate since the Second World War in Italy (UN, 2019). Although the above-described excess mortality created concern among researchers, health authorities and public health experts, it has been challenging to identify its

U Austriji 4474 zarazenih, od 25 februara....umrlih 21 - meni to izgleda kao sasvim "uobicajen" postotak - svakako, broj umrlih ce rasti, ali i broj zarazenih je sugurno mnogo veci nego sto je zvanicno potvrdjeno

A mozda sad hospitalizuju i neke slucajeve koje ne bi inace, prosto jer trenutno imaju kapaciteta, a da se brojka hospitalizovanih iskoristi da zaplasi ljude, da budu disciplinovaniji, znajuci da, ukoliko se pojave ozbiljniji slucajevi, ove mogu da puste? Sad ja zvucim kao neki teoreticar zavere, ali nekako mi cudno da kod nasih 250 zarazenih, imamo 12 kriticnih, a u Nemackoj na skoro 30 000 ima 23 kriticnih

Najdelotvornije mere za socijalno distanciranje - viknuti "Allahu ekber" i cistac oko tebe!

Pitala, javicu cim odgovori!

Czech Crisis Staff head Roman Prymula told Czech Television today that border restrictions in the Czech Republic over the coronavirus situation may last up to two years. https://news.expats.cz/weekly-czech-news/czech-borders-may-remain-closed-for-the-next-two-years-say-top-officials/

Moze li neko pametniji od mene da objasni zasto? Mek isprica pre neki dan za smrt komsije kome nije ugradjen stent zbog novonastale situacije - zrtvovan jedan covek, zarad jednog drugog coveka

Nije rekla, samo je rekla da joj je u subotu bio 12-i dan i da je tek tad uspela da ustane prvi put. Pitacu je da li joj je radjen test (dva put negativan) da potvrde da je ok. Ako nista, sad se izvukla, najgore je proslo i ostaje joj da se nada da je sad imuna.

Predlazem da se otvori topic "Hairstyle before and after corona" - zamaglite lice, dajte kose (ruse)

[coronavirus pandemic diary] Day 3: I have not had sex in 6 months

Upravo zavrsili jedan teleconference i jedna od nasih PMs se upravo oporavlja od covid-19. Kaze, relativno je zdrava osoba, ali je ovo toliko pokosilo, da je tek 12-i dan uspela da ustane. Prosla je bez boravka u bolnici; pitala je jedna sta bi navela kao najgori/najupecatljiviji simptom - kaze konstantan kasalj i fatigue. edit: ono kad te reality udari - do sad su to bili "neki ljudi" i onda cujes uzivo kako to izgleda/zvuci

For the average American the best way to tell if you have covid-19 is to cough in a rich person's face and wait for their test results

Al' ce posle ovoga biti posla za frizere i zubare! Evo gledam sebe, kosa raste kao nikad! Muskarci ce, do kraja price, izgledati kao BitlUsovci!

A zasto se to ne organizuje kao i na neurohirurskoj? Moja drugarica je prosle godine operisala tumor na mozgu, sad je trebala na kontrolu, receno joj da magnetnu uradi u svom gradu i posalje snimak (ne samo ocitan nalaz) u neurohirursku i oni ce pregledati snimak i javiti joj email-om sta i kako dalje; da ne dolazi u Bg sad. edit: gledam, izgleda da su Svajcarci (nadam se) prelomili krivu i rastezu je kako treba

Ne treba meni, treba ovima sto idu van kuce, pa mogu dovuci mami kojesta...