Dragan

Ekstremisti i propalice kao ministri Da će Elon Musk, najbogatiji čovjek na svijetu, imati ulogu u kabinetu Donalda Trumpa, znalo se već prije izbora. Činjenica da ljudi poput Matta Gaetza i Petea Hegsetha postaju ministri je iznenađujuća.

Mozda je promenila misljenje za ovih 11 meseci ?

Kostunice, ti li si ?!

Svakodnevica u Ukrajini. 😞 Prokleti russi !

Putin cuts payments to Russians for injuries in war against Ukraine Heavy Economic Cost Of Putin's War On Russia Likely To 'Intensify' In Coming Months, UK Says “These costs are highly likely exacerbating financial pressures on businesses, with corporate bankruptcies in Russia reportedly 20% higher in 2024 than they were in 2023.”

„Lui, mislim da je ovo početak jednog divnog prijateljstva"

United24 sakupio skoro 800 miliona $. Ameri dali najvise u sep.-okt. 2024. France to send an additional batch of SCALP missiles to Ukraine

Ukrajina je uspešno sprovela testove leta domaćih krstarećih raketa i balističkih raketa i ima za cilj da započne punu proizvodnju do sredine 2025. godine Trenutno u Ukrajini postoji 500 odbrambenih preduzeća. Oni zapošljavaju skoro 300.000 ljudi.

Poland has officially compiled a list of military aid for the Armed Forces of Ukraine Poland ranks first (4.91% of GDP) among all countries that participated in helping Ukraine. "At the beginning of the war, when it was very difficult for Ukraine to get help, when everyone was afraid and resisted, the Germans gave helmets, we gave tanks," said Polish President Andrzej Duda Poland transferred to Ukraine: 14 Leopard 2A4 tanks and older vehicles, 60 PT-91 tanks 280 T-72M, T-72M1, T-72M1R 250 BWP-1 infantry fighting vehicles; 100 Rosomak armored personnel carriers; 9 reconnaissance vehicles BRDM-2; more than a hundred self-propelled artillery installations( AHS Krab, Gvozdyka and others) 30 MLRS BM-21 "Grad". 14 MiG-29 fighters 12 Mi-24 helicopters. drones intended for direct reconnaissance, hundreds of attack drones, as well as anti-aircraft and anti-missile systems. 100 million cartridges of various types and calibers. Ukraine also received 20,000 Starlink sets (their service is financed by Poland) for Internet communication. Great logistical help In total, Poland provided military aid to Ukraine in the amount of 3.23 billion euros, i.e. more than 14 billion zlotys. Poland is the supply hub for Ukraine, providing a corridor for delivering humanitarian aid and weapons, and also evacuating people and equipment.

Russia’s economic war propaganda One of the narratives being pushed by Russia is that its economy is doing better than the West, and that sanctions are not working. This column looks at how the Russian economy worked before the invasion in 2022 and some of key statistics currently coming out from Russian authorities. The findings suggest that the Russian economy is not strong. Fiscal stimulus is creating inflation rather than growth, and the central bank is having to deal with the collateral damage of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine. More importantly, Ukraine’s Western partners have all the economic resources Ukraine needs to help it win the war. It seems the Russian economy is headed towards a collapse in 2025. And Putin knows this. While the Kremlin likes to pretend that their bloody war economy is doing better than ever, this is far from the truth. In attempts to stop runaway inflation due to increased defense spending, the Russian Central Bank has increased the interest rate to record high 21% and will “very likely” raise it again in December. It is unclear whether they will be able to stop inflation this way, but this move is likely to bear devastating consequences for Russian businesses, already hurt by Western sanctions. Many are already reporting a drastic increase in late payments from counterparties – a worrying sign for the economy. Financial experts are expecting a “wave” of bankrupcies to sweep the Russian market over the next several months, and many leading businesses have grim prognoses for 2025. Russia’s biggest steel manufacturer, Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel Works, have enough reserves only for another 6 months and have a “very negative” outlook for 2025. Samolet group, a major real estate developer is also on the brink of collapse – their sales are down 37%, and one of the biggest shareholders is trying to sell his stake in the company. As a systemic company for the Russian economy, the default of Samolet would likely require a government bailout. Russia’s Union of Shopping Centers has appealed to the government for support. They are requesting subsidized interest rates of 7-10 percent, debt restructuring, and payment deferrals of 5-10 years. Without these measures, 200 shopping centers risk bankruptcy. Among other companies that foresee a default in their future are Krial Energo Stroy plant and strategic enterprise “Rosgeologia”, while national restaurant chain “Kuzina” has technically defaulted already. Even the defense industry is not safe from the effects of the interest rate hike. Sergey Chemezov, the head of the state-owned defense conglomerate Rostec warned, “If we keep operating like this, most of our businesses will go bankrupt. Even arms sales don’t generate enough profit [to service debt at rates above 20 percent].” If these predictions come to be over the next two quarters, Russia’s economy is in for a major “shakeup” – economic growth will slow and inflation rates will keep growing. Very clear sign that the economy is doing well, right?

Sin idiot, kao i caca.

Poznati madjionicarski trik - odvuci paznju gledalaca od mesta na kome se desava stvarna prevara. It's the economy, stupid - pri tome ne mislim na bajna obecanja koja je stabilna budala napravila i u koja je naivna masa poverovala. Ljudima treba svetonazorska identifikacija vise nego leba da jedu. So let it be. 🙂

Istocna Nemacka nije formalno bila deo SSSR, ali je nepobitno bila pod veoma snaznim uticajem russije. Nije neophodno da neke zemlje budu formalno deo sadasnje russije, ili budu vojno napadnute, da bi russija imala ogroman (negativan) uticaj na tu drzavu i njene stanovnike (izgleda da su mnogi zaboravili russke vojne intervencije i kako je ziveti pod njihovom cizmom). Hibridni rat, koji russija vec jako dugo vodi protiv Zapada, pokazuje u kom smeru bi sve moglo dalje da ide. Petokolonaske partije i politicari (AfD, BSW, Le Pen, Orban, Fico, Salvini, da nabrojimo samo neke) vec sada uspesno podrivaju, ne samo pomoc Ukrajini, vec i same temelje demokratije. Pogledajmo na kartu Evrope i kako bi izgledala geopoliticka situacija, ako russi okupiraju Ukrajinu. Sada su vojno i ekonomski iscrpljeni i neko dalje napredovanje nije realno, ali za 5-10 godina, posebno ako se sankcije ukinu i opet sakupe dovoljno sredstava, uz koriscenje resursa Ukrajine (ljudi i prirodna bogatstva) i dalji rad na potkupljivanju i razjedinjenju Zapada. Belorusija je vec russka marioneta (Lukaseno zna da je njegova diktaura ovisna od zlog gnoma, koji ga je pre par godina vec spasao od naroda; isto tako zna da bi lako mogao pasti kroz prozor, ako to bude pozeljno). Moldavija bi bila lako pregazena. Madjarska i Slovacka su vec sada pro-ruski nastrojene (ponavljam, nije neophodno da russka vojska udje u te drzave da bi uticaj russije bio politicki odlucujuci). Austrija, Srbija i Bugarska isto. Georgija se uspela donekle odupreti, ali pritisak se da povecati, sa sagledivim posledicama - potpunom dominacijom pro-ruskih snaga. Glavno pitanje je kako bi NATO (ako uopste bude tada postojao zbog stabilne budale) reagovao ako bi zli gnom odlucio da brani ugrozenu russku manjinu (kao i u Ukrajini) u Estlandu, Letlandu i Litvaniji i ako bi se tamo pojavili mali zeleni separatisti !? Istocna Nemacka bi, ako AfD i BSW nastave da rastu svakako bila pod velikim uticajem, koju ni zapadni deo Nemacke ne bi mogao zanemariti. U sustini ostala bi samo Poljska, kao jedina stvarna linija odbrane. Zelimo li takvu Evropu ?! Zelimo li zaista da russka mafija prosiri svoj uticaj i pomogne ostalim potencijalnim evropskim mafijama ?! Ja sigurno ne.

Interesantno je kako se demokratima prebacuje zapostavljanje radnicke klase i obicnog coveka, a istovremeno pobedjuje stabilna budala i svemirska Karen, koji su valjda olicenje te brige (prilicno sam siguran da ce krajem iduce godine broj nezaposlenih porasti). Gledajuci gole ekonomske podatke, niti je stabilni pruzio nesto izuzetno, niti je bidenova ekonomija bila nesto posebno losa. I u jednom i u drugom slucaju treba uracunati globalno ekonomsko-politicko stanje za vreme njihovih mandata. Pala masa na isprazna obecanja i to je to. Kako god, ima jedna dobra stvar - nakon ove 4 godine stabilna budala ce konacno otici u istoriju (osim ako ne promene ustav za njega, pa da moze biti dozivotni, kao njegovi kumpani zli gnom i debela braca xi i kim). Videcemo, koliko stete ce uspeti da napravi, pored ove koju je vec napravio (sve poluge moci su u rukama republikanaca).

Ni ovo nije lose.

Da li je Rusija pretnja NATO-u? Odgovor je: Rusija nije neposredna pretnja jer je Ukrajina odlučila da se bori protiv njih. Da je Ukrajina dočekala Rusiju, kao što je Putin očekivao, i udružila snage, političari EU bi do sada menjali pelene.

Interesantna stranica - Udeo obnovljivih izvora energije u proizvodnji električne energije Udeo obnovljivih izvora energije u globalnom miksu električne energije porastao je za 10 procentnih poena na 30% od 2010. godine.

Izgleda da je vreme da se prebacimo na zabavnu stranu.

How western sanctions are squeezing Russia ... If you can’t draw on savings abroad or ongoing export sales to ease your budget or resource constraints, the only way to get more resources for your illegal war is to take them away from alternative uses at home. And there are basically three ways in which a government can make such a transfer happen: -Through policies that force the private sector to reduce spending or give up resources, ranging from taxation, higher interest rates and outright confiscation (or conscription, in the sense of “human resources”) -Through domestic borrowing (foreign borrowing is hampered by sanctions), where it cajoles the domestic private sector into giving up resources against a promise to get them back with interest later -Through inflation that reduces the real economic value of assets and incomes that are not fully protected against price rises The choice will be determined by a trade-off between having to raise enough resources and imposing little enough pain on those who might be able to oppose you. That, as all revolutions (and perhaps even this week’s US election) seem to tell us, requires avoiding excessive inflation. Inflation is not low in Russia: prices are rising at an annual rate of 9 per cent a year, and wages by a lot more in the sectors trying to draw in labour. But it would have been much higher had it not been for a draconian monetary policy, with the central bank rate at 21 per cent. Which is where we come full circle, back to Chemezov’s complaint about the high cost of credit. Only on the surface is this a discussion about the right monetary policy. At heart, it reflects an acute resource allocation dilemma. The high interest rate is part of a necessary policy package that starves long-term corporate investment and all but some subsidised credit-financed spending in order to maximise resources in short-term defence-related production while avoiding too much of the burden being paid by the real wealth inflation-exposed households. If exporters’ corporate investment was not to suffer as much, somebody else would have to suffer instead. But we have come to the point where executives very much part of the establishment feel free to complain about the resource allocation that has been decided. The upshot is that western policy is having significant economic and political effects, despite superficially positive accounting numbers for Russian GDP growth. These are levers western countries can work harder at little or no cost to themselves: by cutting off more Russian financial institutions, by wielding secondary sanctions (more) to discourage circumvention, by redirecting outright Moscow’s blocked central bank reserves for Ukraine’s benefit, and by speeding up the technological upgrading of the west’s cross-border financial architecture to pre-empt leapfrogging by Russia and its friends.

Ima jedna prica, koju vi mladji mozda ne znate, a koja je slicna ovoj danasnjoj sa zelenima. Ukratko: The Ozone Story ; Ozone layer Bitni momenti: - The full extent of the damage that CFCs have caused to the ozone layer is not known and will not be known for decades; however, marked decreases in column ozone have already been observed. The Montreal and Vienna conventions were installed long before a scientific consensus was established or important uncertainties in the science field were being resolved. The ozone case was understood comparably well by lay persons as e.g. Ozone shield or ozone hole were useful "easy-to-understand bridging metaphors". Americans voluntarily switched away from aerosol sprays, resulting in a 50 percent sales loss even before legislation was enforced. After a 1976 report by the United States National Academy of Sciences concluded that credible scientific evidence supported the ozone depletion hypothesis a few countries, including the United States, Canada, Sweden, Denmark, and Norway, moved to eliminate the use of CFCs in aerosol spray cans. At the time this was widely regarded as a first step towards a more comprehensive regulation policy, but progress in this direction slowed in subsequent years, due to a combination of political factors (continued resistance from the halocarbon industry and a general change in attitude towards environmental regulation during the first two years of the Reagan administration) and scientific developments (subsequent National Academy assessments that indicated that the first estimates of the magnitude of ozone depletion had been overly large). ... Godine 1987. predstavnici 43 zemlje potpisali su Montrealski protokol . U međuvremenu je industrija halougljika promijenila svoj stav i počela podržavati protokol za ograničavanje proizvodnje CFC-a. Međutim, ovaj je pomak bio neujednačen jer je DuPont djelovao brže od svojih europskih kolega. DuPont se možda bojao sudskih postupaka u vezi s povećanjem raka kože, pogotovo jer je EPA objavila studiju 1986. godine u kojoj se tvrdi da se u SAD-u u sljedećih 88 godina može očekivati dodatnih 40 milijuna slučajeva i 800.000 smrti od raka. I EU je promijenila svoje stajalište nakon što je Njemačka odustala od obrane CFC industrije i počela podupirati korake prema regulaciji. Vlada i industrija u Francuskoj i Velikoj Britaniji pokušali su obraniti svoje industrije koje proizvode CFC čak i nakon potpisivanja Montrealskog protokola. Physikochemiker Mario J. Molina und Frank Sherwood Rowland, koji su 1974. prvi upozoravali na opanosti stvaranja ozonskih rupa su dugo, od strane hemijske industrije, bili difamirani (cak i kao ruski spijuni koji hoce da uniste USA hemijsku industriju). Kasnije su dobili nobelovu nagradu za hemiju. Na srecu Reagan nije bio stabilna budala (globalno zatopljenje, a u New Yorku pada sneg i nema veze sto ce nivo okeana malo da poraste, ha ha ha) i - godine 1987. američki predsjednik Ronald Reagan i britanska premijerka Margaret Thatcher podržali su sazivanje međunarodne konferencije na kojoj je pregovarano i usvojeno postupno ukidanje nekoliko industrijski korištenih kemikalija u Montrealskom protokolu .

Nije se lose snasao kada je Nemackoj hitno trebao gas usled iznenadne, brutalne agresije zlog gnoma. Mislis li da bi bilo bolje i moralnije, da je lepa i pametna Sahra, za koju si glasala, napravila deal sa zlim gnomom ?

Zeleni mozda jesu radikalni i mozda ne trebaju Nemackoj, USA, Kini ... ali trebaju svetu. Ako ne sada, onda najkasnije za 20-30 godina.