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Nisi videla njegov intervju/razgovor sa lider(k)om profasisticke stranke u Nemackoj? I koji je vid demencije obuzeo Trumpa kad 2025te Rusiji preti sankcijama? Nije primetio da taj vid pritiska od 2014te na ovamo ne dalje bas superkonkretne rezultate? Demencija, glupost ili losa namera? Ili kombinacija ovih stvari?

Tako nekako, jos jedna godina, cak je i predvidjeni vojni budzet za 2026. manji nego za 2025. A svaka godina od 2020. na ovamo je imala veci vojni budzet nego prethodna.

Takozvani izbori u Belorusiji bbc In 2020, Alexander Lukashenko allowed Svetlana Tikhanovskaya to run against him, thinking that a political novice – and a woman – would make no impact. It was a massive miscalculation. Tikhanovskaya, who decided to stand in place of her husband after Lukashenko put him in jail, claimed victory. When Lukashenko was awarded 80% of the vote, crowds took to the streets in the biggest ever threat to his rule. The protests were ultimately crushed by riot police with mass arrests and brute force. The European Union then refused to recognise Lukashenko's legitimacy as president. Today, all the key opposition figures from that period are in prison or have fled abroad, like Tikhanovskaya. Former protesters still in Belarus have been scared into silence. So the opposition leader is not urging them to take to the streets again on Sunday. "We call on Belarusians to reject this sham and on the international community to reject the result," she tells the BBC. "But I say to Belarusians, you have to keep safe until the real moment of possibility. "Because people live in constant fear, and the regime is now intensifying the repression." Ceo clanak sa odlicnim citatima https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4g9dld4pejo

cnn analysis Any peace deal with Putin will require security guarantees that might demand the costly deployment of troops from European NATO members on Ukrainian soil. And the Ukrainians have learned what many states on the continent still prefer to ignore: the Russian invasion signals there’s a new and belligerent threat in the East that will require a far more robust Western defense posture. And with Trump back in the White House, there’s no guarantee the US is going to stick around. “Will President Trump even notice Europe? Does he see NATO as necessary? And will he respect EU institutions?” Zelensky said. He went on: “Will President Trump listen to Europe, or will he negotiate with Russia and China without Europe? … Europe needs to learn how to fully take care of itself, so that the world can’t afford to ignore it.” This – from a nation that craves EU membership – is not a message that will go down especially well in Brussels, especially given the huge military and diplomatic support that Europe has offered to Kyiv over the last three years. It’s not that different, however, from French President Emmanuel Macron’s frequent calls for Europe to pack more of a national security punch notwithstanding his government barely making NATO’s 2% spending threshold. Zelensky’s true intent was revealed when he said: “Right now, it’s not clear whether Europe will even have a seat at the table when the war against our country ends.” Ukraine really needs a strong, united Europe because Trump might be tempted to give Putin anything he wants just to end the war.

Da se ne lazemo, niko ko ima iq veci od 60 nije poverovao u to obecanje. Laz i predstava/zabava je sustina ovog vladaoca sa obimnim kriminalnim dosijeom. Jedina misterija mi je kako svi ti ljudi koji su znali sa kakvim lazovom imaju posla mogu da glasaju za njega i posle mogu da se pogledaju u ogledalo? I nadam se da ce teret svih besmislenih obecanja (i lazi) da podnesu njegovi glasaci, mada to retko biva u stvarnosti. Od samog pocetka, meni je najneverovatnija Trumpova ideja vodilja, da od tradicionalnim prijatelja i saveznika, sa kojim navodno deli iste civilizacijske vrednosti, napravi neprijatelje. Ne birajuci sredstva. Na linku dole je jedan jako dobar tekst i analiza o tome kako EU docekuje drugi mandat ovog lazova i prestupnika. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c93ll927v18o

bbc Pope Francis has said that Donald Trump's plans to deport illegal migrants from the US would be a "disgrace" if they materialised. Speaking to an Italian TV programme from his Vatican residence, Francis said that if the plans went ahead, Trump would make "poor wretches that don't have anything foot the bill". "That's not right. That's not how you solve problems," he said.

Koliko sam video po izvestajima, ova poslednja dva masovna ruska napada su bas bila usmerena na gasnu infrastrukturu u Ukrajni, a Rusi kazu da su Ukrajinci napali dronovima gasnu stanicu na juznom toku koja sluzi da omoguci protok gasa kroz gasovod. Tako da mi se cini da su u ovom sukobu odavno skinute rukavice i da je ta energetska infrastruktura postala 'legitimna meta' koliko i skladista sa municijom. Fico kaze, a i neki relevantniji izvori, da je rec o 500M od tranzita, ali s obzirom da su Austrijanci presli na drugi izvor, sumnjam da je takva suma uopste u igri. Moguce da bi svakako izgubili tranzit.

@Beonegro secam se tog ugovora od pre mesec dana, ali mozda su se stvari promenile, videcemo. Ovo drugo, o automatskom propadanju je tako, nemam sta da dodam. CNBC India's days of buying cheap Russian oil could be over. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/17/us-sanctions-on-russian-oil-india-impact.html

Izgleda da ove USA sankcije gadjaju te firme, tako da je moguce da se i ta slavina po malo zavrce. Citao sam neki tekst koji kaze da UAE i KSA 'trljaju ruke' jer se Kina i Indija njima okrecu, jednostavno kompanije ne zele rizike, niti da se one nadju na listi sankcija.

Ne znam odakle vadis ove argumente, jer je Slovacka povezana i na druge izvore gasa. 'Ekipa', kako kazes, od 2018-2023 je to resila. Jos 2018. EU je finansirala gasovod prema Poljskoj, koji je dvosmeran. A lako se moze povezati i sa Austrijom i Ceskom, verujem i Madjarakom. Da nije na vlasti ovaj Putinov pion, niko o tome ne bi ni razmisljao, sve bi se normalno odvijalo, niko ne bi ni primetio da vise ne uvoze ruski gas. I nije Fiko 6 meseci na vlasti, nego skoro 1.5 godinu, a apsolutno nista nije popravio sta je obecavao, nego je sve otislo u suprotnom pravcu, tipicno za populiste koji dolaze na vlast kritikom 'briselskih/vasingtonskih birokrata', dok im zaludjeni narod zmuri cak i na ubistva novinara. Premda bi zaista bilo zanimljivo videti kako su nestali dolazi protiv Fika, i da li ga to neko tim dokazima drzi u saci.

Otkud ovo? Jos letos je pisano da Slovacka moze da se prikljuci preko Italije i Austrije ili Ceske, Poljske, njene potrebe su male u odnosu na kapacitete tih zemalja. Tesko da je neka zemlja u boljem polozaju kad je prikljucak na gas u pitanju od Slovacke. Fiko pravi cirkus po naredbi iz Kremlja, jer svaka destabilizacija ili sukob bilo gde idu Rusiji u prilog. Navodno, nije problem (toliko) gas, nego 500 miliona koje Slovacka dobije za tranzit. A istina je da mu narod zamera to sto je inflacija porasla preko ocekivanja, kao i raspad zdravstvenog sistema. Ljude je posebno razbesneo sad oko Nove godine kad je volsebno nestao iz Slovacke, ali ga je neko 'pronasao' na super luksuznoj destinaciji u Vijetnamu. Okretanje od EU i nedostupnost tih fondova je nateralo pro EU birace da zbiju redove, otuda i taj porast u anketama. Kljucna stvar je da se kod promene vlasti konacno razresi ubistvo novinara i njegove verenice koji je istrazivao korupcuju u Fikovoj prethodnoj vladi, a ne da se kao do sada izvlaci zbog 'nedostatka dokaza'.

Za utorak je zakazana sednica skupstine u Slovackoj o razresenju Fikove vlade. Od 150 poslanika, vladajuca koalicija ima jedva 76, a poslanici Hlasa su vec javno kritikovali Fika zbog okretanja id EU prema Putinu.

Mozda na prvi pogled nema mnogo veze sa ratom u Ukrajni, ali vreme i mesto odrzavanja NATO vezbe porucuje nesto drugo. bbc Over 700 army vehicles have been loaded onto cargo ships ready to sail to Romania for a Nato exercise. The armoured vehicles, fuel tankers and forklift trucks were loaded up at Marchwood, near Southampton in Hampshire to be transported for Exercise Steadfast Dart 25. The exercise will see about 2,500 troops travel by truck and plane to join thousands of personnel from 10 Nato allies. Operating across Romania and Bulgaria for the next two months it coincides with the three-year anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The UK's 1st Division will be in command of all of Nato's land forces in the exercise. Speaking at Marchwood, Colonel Jim Beere, deputy chief of staff of 1st (UK) Div) which is commanding the land component, said: "This is significant for the UK, as this is the first ever time the Allied Reaction Force has deployed and the UK is providing the land component command which means we are providing the army - or land - component to that." He explained that Nato vehicles and troops will be travelling by different methods for the 1,429 mile (2,300km) journey to and from Romania, by sea, land and rail, to test Nato's ability to deploy under pressure. The aim of the exercise, is to practice a major deployment of land, sea and air forces across Europe.

Ovih dana guzva u Kijevu medju diplomatama, juce je bio ministar odbrane Nemacke, danas premijer UK i ministar odbrane Italije. Verovatno svi imaju po nesto da kazu pre Trumpove inauguracije. S druge strane, u Rusiji se najavljuje jos ostrijih pritiska na Ukrajnu. bbc Nikolai Patrushev, an advisor to Putin, rejected the idea that Russia might be willing to concede any occupied territory to Ukraine, in an interview with Russian newspaper Komsomolyskaya Pravda, published Tuesday. He also said Ukraine could cease to exist as a sovereign state in 2025, without offering further explanation. “It can’t be ruled out that Ukraine will cease to exist at all in the coming year,” Patrushev said.

Deluje kao da je bilo pre sto godina, ali mi smo sinoc dobili prvu cetvrtinu. Dobili smo i poslednju, sa onakvom petorkom, ali razliku koju su ovi napravili u sada vec istorijskoj drugoj cetvrtini je bila prevelika. Pratim po malo ovu EL vec godinama, i ne mogu da se setim kad je poslednji put neko onako podcenio Melijev sut za 3p.